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TY  - JOUR
TI  - Behaviour of the parameter of Non-Guassian Seasonal Autogressive Model from first order SAR (1)
PY  - %2023/%01/%16
Y2  - %2025/%12/%22
JF  - Al-Mansour Journal
JA  - مجلة المنصور
VL  - 10
IS  - 1
LA  - en
UR  - https://journal.muc.edu.iq/journal/article/view/333
SP  - 1-20
AB  - This research aims at following the behaviour of Parameter of Non – Gaussion Seasonal Autoregressive Model from first order by simulation. This is done by supposing that model random errors follow Non – Gaussion continuous distribution and by using two comparison tools mean square error MSE ( Φ ) and mean absolute percentage MAPE ( Φ ) for the difference cases (seasonal period , sample size , parameter initial values and the sign of parameter initial values ).The main conclusions are (i) MAPE ( Φ ) and MSE ( Φ ) values increase when seasonal period is increase , sample size with negative initial value of the parameter and the parameter initial values are approaching zero, and ( ii ) MAPE and MSE values of parameter Φ decrease when season period is decreased (Regardless of the parameter is positive or negative), parameter initial value is ± 1 and sample size is increase with positive initial value of the parameter Φ.
ER  -